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Prediction markets

Your markets are the content. You post it too late.

We run your X account: plan, posts and replies, on the market’s clock, not a calendar.

Get your free 2-week planSee the method
Marcus · sports desk
@marcusreads
QB news dropped at 21:14, Quorum had the market move posted by 21:23 with the rules page. polymarket’s account was still asleep
2h · 31K Views
165843331K
Dana
@danatrades
found two markets this week straight from Quorum replies under news threads. that’s how discovery should work for a new venue
5h · 22K Views
94130222K
anon
@basedanon_
Quorum posting “why the odds moved” threads within the hour is better coverage than the actual sports media
1d · 17K Views
63727617K
Priya
@priya_allocates
notice Quorum never says “bet” or “lock”. just odds, volume, resolution rules. that restraint is going to matter when the regulators come around
7h · 15K Views
83324115K
Tomas
@tomastrades
sunday 23:00 and the Quorum account is still answering resolution questions under the game thread. who is running this thing
3h · 26K Views
114935826K
Jules
@julesrekt
kalshi has the brand, Quorum has the faster account. on CT that’s closer to even than you’d think
2d · 12K Views
52819912K
Marcus · sports desk
@marcusreads
QB news dropped at 21:14, Quorum had the market move posted by 21:23 with the rules page. polymarket’s account was still asleep
2h · 31K Views
165843331K
Dana
@danatrades
found two markets this week straight from Quorum replies under news threads. that’s how discovery should work for a new venue
5h · 22K Views
94130222K
anon
@basedanon_
Quorum posting “why the odds moved” threads within the hour is better coverage than the actual sports media
1d · 17K Views
63727617K
Priya
@priya_allocates
notice Quorum never says “bet” or “lock”. just odds, volume, resolution rules. that restraint is going to matter when the regulators come around
7h · 15K Views
83324115K
Tomas
@tomastrades
sunday 23:00 and the Quorum account is still answering resolution questions under the game thread. who is running this thing
3h · 26K Views
114935826K
Jules
@julesrekt
kalshi has the brand, Quorum has the faster account. on CT that’s closer to even than you’d think
2d · 12K Views
52819912K
Illustrative examples. Quorum is a made-up project.

From headline to post in minutes. On a Saturday.

A market is a story with a clock on it. This is what the clock looks like when someone is actually watching: twenty-six minutes, news to reply.

Saturday, 21:14: one headline, traced26 min · news → reply
21:14
01Headline breaks
Breaking · league wire
Starting QB ruled out for Sunday’s game after Saturday practice.
21:17
02Your market moves
Will the Jets win on Sunday?
41%yes▼ 17 pts in 3 min
was 58%$412K traded
21:23
03Post is live
Quorum @quorum_markets · 21:23
QB out → Jets odds just dropped 17 points in three minutes. market’s live, resolution rules on the page, volume already past $400K. quorum.markets/jets-sun
317441258K
21:40
04Reply under the hot thread
Marcus · sports desk @marcusreads · 21:31
no way the line holds with him out. this changes everything for sunday
Quorum @quorum_markets · 21:40
the market already priced it - 41% yes, $400K traded since the news. if you think that’s wrong, that’s exactly what the market is for
182920324K
MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

Seven days, including the two that matter most. Games, votes and debates resolve at the weekend, when a single hire has the night off. A team plus an agent doesn’t.

Nothing in the trace is a pick. The odds, the volume, the rules page: the market does the talking, the post just gets there while it’s live.

Every new venue moves through three stages.

We know which one you’re in - and how much of the feed should be explaining, listing and linking.

01 / 03

Launch

Your first two months: get found by the traders who already use the big venues. Education explains why your markets are worth switching for; community makes the account the place the weekend crowd checks first.

The plan follows the odds.

Sources we read every day.

Polymarket · Kalshi
the odds boards we read every morning for every client - now for yours
Breaking news
the headline a market is about to react to - caught as it lands
Event calendar
games, votes, debates, CPI - the week’s resolutions, scheduled in advance
Crypto Twitter
where the hot take is forming, before the odds have caught up
01Community & contests

The weekend leaderboard, not a giveaway

Trader of the week, best-called market, the Sunday-night recap. Culture built around being right in public - the thing your users already come for.

Sun, PMMarkets resolve on Sunday night; the recap lands while the result is still being argued about.
Quorum @quorum_markets · 3h
weekend board is in. 1,840 traders active, 31 markets resolved, and @danatrades called the late swing on the governor race at 22% while everyone was at 60. trader of the week. full recap + next week’s calendar 🧵
443629124K
02Product & project updates

New markets, posted as they go live

Listings, resolution rules, fee changes, new categories - posted the minute they’re live, with the rules page linked. For a venue, the product update is a new market.

At listingA market announced an hour after listing has already missed its first wave of volume.
Quorum @quorum_markets · 40m
live now: 6 markets on tuesday’s debate - who’s named first, whether the word “tariff” is said, and four more. resolution sources are on each page, read them before anything else. quorum.markets/debate
122718816K
03Educational / reach

“Why the odds moved” - inside the hour

A headline breaks, a market swings, and the thread explaining what actually changed goes out while people are still searching for it. The reach engine for a venue is explaining its own markets.

Within 60 minThe explainer has a half-life of hours. Same-day is too late; inside the hour is the job.
Quorum @quorum_markets · 1h
the CPI market just went from 34% to 71% “above consensus” in 11 minutes. here’s what moved it, who was early, and what the resolution source actually says - 6 posts, no forecasts 🧵
3812161774K
04Status & traction

Volume on the markets we pointed at

Traders, volume, resolved markets - posted same-day, in context. Especially the numbers on markets a post sent people to: that’s the loop closing in public.

Same dayNumbers are news for 24 hours. Post same-day, re-surface in the Sunday recap.
Quorum @quorum_markets · 6h
$1.4M traded this weekend across 31 markets · 612 first-time traders · the jets market alone did $640K after saturday’s news. not a record - a base.
154832728K
05Conversion

The reply with the live market in it

The conversion post for a venue is a reply: under the hot thread, with the odds, the volume and the link. Not branding - a trader one tap from the market.

Inside the hourA reply that lands while the thread is moving gets read. Forty minutes later it’s scrolled past.
Marcus · sports desk @marcusreads · 1h
no way the line holds with him out. this changes everything for sunday
Quorum @quorum_markets · 50m
the market already priced it - 41% yes, $400K traded since the news. if you think that’s wrong, that’s exactly what the market is for. quorum.markets/jets-sun
182920324K

Eight replies a day, under the threads moving right now.

Posting is the easy half. For a venue, the reply under a hot thread - odds, volume, link - is the conversion event. It only works inside the hour.

12,000posts / day

On the radar. Breaking-news accounts, sports and politics desks, and the lists and cashtags that move your markets.

only 3.2% are worth a second look
380posts

You can speak to. Threads where one of your live markets has something to add - odds, volume, a resolution rule.

1 in 10 is still fresh enough
40threads

Still worth being early to. Inside the hour only. A reply under a market that already resolved is noise.

1 in 5 earns a draft
8replies

Written, reviewed, queued. Written for that thread, the market linked, the frame checked - through the team’s review before it’s queued.

The work isn’t writing the reply. It’s being there while the thread is still moving.

Information markets. Never “bets”.

Parts of the US treat venues like yours as unlicensed gaming, and your competitors are in court over wording. Every post is read for the frame - odds, volume, rules, no tips - and none goes live until you approve it.

  • A human pace: posts spread through the day, never in bursts
  • Daily limits that keep the account clear of spam flags
  • No engagement bait, no follow-for-follow, nothing that risks a restriction
22Mon2 posts
Grok· Educational17:00
Ask @grok how the consensus moved
@grok how far did the consensus on this print move in the 48h before it landed? no tips
awaiting approval
23Tue
Update09:30
Six debate markets live
live now: 6 markets on tuesday’s debate. resolution sources are on each page, read them first.
approved
24Wed
Engagement· Poll20:00
Quiz: what moved the CPI odds
quiz: 34% → 71% in 11 minutes, no news in between. what usually does that?
awaiting approval
25Thu
Educational11:00
How a market resolves
who decides a market resolved yes, and what happens when the source is late. the rules 🧵
awaiting approval
What we report

The most measurable niche we serve.

Every post links a market, so every post has a number. The weekly report is built around four of them.

Clicks
Into specific markets

Which post sent how many people to which market - by the hour, so you see the velocity working.

Traders
New, from content

First-time traders whose first session started from a post or a reply, by market and by day of week.

Volume
On the markets we highlighted

What the markets we pointed at traded in the 24 hours after the post, against their baseline.

Cost
Per acquired trader

The plan’s monthly cost over the traders it brought in - the number you can put next to any other channel.

Impressions are in the report. They’re a footnote.

Why prediction-market teams use grapevine

Seven things the team fighting for a voice against the incumbents needs to hear.

Get your free 2-week plan
01
No weekends off

Your markets don’t sleep on Saturday - and neither do we. That’s where the sports and political events are.

02
Minutes to react, not a day

While the story is hot and the market is still moving. The trace above is a Saturday night, not a best case.

03
We use prediction markets every day

They’re already our trend source for every other client’s content. We know your product from the inside, not from the landing page.

04
Your product is already the content

Every market is a story with a clock on it. We just get it posted while it’s still live.

05
Information markets, never bets

Not one phrasing that hands a regulator a problem. Odds, volume, resolution rules - no tips, no “locks”, no “bets”.

06
Every post leads to a specific market

We measure clicks into markets and new traders, not impressions.

07
A voice against Polymarket and Kalshi

They have the brand. You have the product. Content evens it out.

A hire who never sleeps, or a team that doesn’t need to.

Instead of
The analyst-copywriter hire
watches the odds all day and can write - rare, expensive, and off on the weekend your markets peak
A team plus an agent, covering Saturday at 21:14
Paid KOL calls
one pump into one market, gone by the next resolution, nothing owned
Every post links a live market - measured in clicks and new traders
Scheduling tools
a calendar can’t know the odds just moved 17 points
Posts triggered by the market, read by a person, out in minutes
Out-shouting the incumbents
Polymarket and Kalshi have the brand and the ad budget
You have the faster, more careful account - on CT that’s closer to even

Live on X. More on the way.

We start where the narratives start, and add the next room as we go.

Live
X (Twitter)
Daily posts, reply coverage and FUD defense - live on your account today.
Onboarding now
Next
Discord
Project servers and alpha groups - where your community actually lives.
On the roadmap
Next
Telegram
Alpha chats and community calls, where conviction actually gets built.
On the roadmap

Start small. Scale when it’s working.

Flat monthly pricing. Pro is the velocity plan - seven days a week, 10–15 replies a day.

Core
Get found and worth following
$550/mo
+ $150 one-time onboarding
20–25 posts a month
~5 targeted replies a day
Stage-based content plan
Unlimited edits, month one
Hands-on manager, month one
Weekly report
Get your 2-week plan
ProMost teams start here
Full coverage, founder included
$950/mo
Onboarding included
30–40 posts a month
10–15 targeted replies a day
Your founder’s account run too
Seven days a week
Dedicated manager, ongoing
Weekly report + funnel metrics
Get your 2-week plan
Tailored
Two accounts and up
Custom
Onboarding included
2+ accounts, volumes to fit
Everything in Pro
Launch & TGE support
Custom reporting
A named strategist on setup and review
Talk to us

Every plan starts with a strategist reading your markets, your categories and your last month of posts. The first two weeks are built with you, then approved by you.

Questions, answered.

Still wondering about something? We’ll walk you through it.

Talk to us →

The trace on this page is a real Saturday-night sequence: headline 21:14, market move 21:17, post 21:23, reply under the hot thread 21:40. The agent drafts from the market move and the headline; a person on our team reads it and approves. Most posts are out inside 15 minutes of the move, replies inside the hour - seven days a week.

No. Every post is framed as an information market: odds, volume, what moved, where the resolution rules are. No forecasts, no “locks”, no betting language. Parts of the US treat platforms like yours as unlicensed gaming and your competitors are in court over wording - we write as if every post will be read by a regulator, because it might be.

They’re a daily input for every account we run: the odds boards tell us what the market thinks happens next, which shapes what gets posted for clients in other niches. For you that means a team that already reads markets every morning - and knows your product as a user, not from a deck.

Clicks into specific markets, new traders, volume on the markets we highlighted, and cost per acquired trader. This is the most measurable niche we serve; the weekly report is built around those four, with impressions as a footnote.

Probably not. If your buyer is an exchange, X isn’t your sales channel and we’d be the wrong spend. We work with venues and trader-facing tools - anywhere a post can put a trader one tap from a market.

A strategist, not a form. They read your markets, your categories and everything the account has posted, set the voice and the frame with you, and build the first two weeks by hand. After that the agent carries the daily volume and the strategist reviews every week.

Give your markets a voice before the news moves on.

We’re onboarding a handful of prediction-market teams with hands-on setup. Tell us what you’ve built and we’ll see if it’s a fit.

Limited spots. No commitment to apply.